Abstract

This work presents an estimate of the slip activation potential of existing fractures in a remote northern community located on Canadian Shield rocks for geothermal purposes. To accomplish this objective, we analyzed outcrop analogues and recorded geometrical properties of fractures, namely the strike and dip. Then, we estimated the stress regime in the study area through an empirical approach and performed a probabilistic slip tendency analysis. This allowed us to determine the slip probability of the pre-existing fractures at the current state of stress, the orientation of fractures that are most likely to be activated and the fluid pressures needed for the slip activation of pre-existing fractures, which are key aspects for developing Enhanced Geothermal Systems. The results of this simple, yet effective, analysis suggest that at the current state of stress, the pre-existing natural fractures are relatively stable, and an injection pressure of about 12.5 MPa/km could be required to activate the most optimally oriented fractures to slip. An injection of water at this pressure gradient could open the optimally oriented pre-existing fractures and enhance the permeability of the reservoir for geothermal fluid extraction. The information described in this paper provides a significant contribution to the geothermal research underway in remote northern communities.

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