Skeletal-Related Events in Renal Cell Carcinoma: Prediction With Alkaline Phosphatase (ALP), C-reactive Protein (CRP), Haemoglobin (Hb) and Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR) (A.C.H.E.) Score for Risk Stratification.

Abstract

Introduction Skeletal metastasis is catastrophic in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC), leading to skeletal-related events (SRE) such as nerve entrapment, hypercalcemia and even pathological fractures, which may require surgical intervention. The nature of the bone metastasis in advanced RCC is large, destructive, hyper-vascular and mostly lytic. The present retrospective analysis aims to identify potential risk factors for predicting SREs in advanced RCC with bone metastasis. Methods The clinical data of 42 patients with RCC and bone metastasis and at least one episode of SRE were reviewed, and the correlations between erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), C-reactive protein (CRP), haemoglobin (Hb), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and bone metastases were analysed. Risk factors were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Bone metastasis was diagnosed on a bone scan. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve calculated the cut-off value of the independent correlation factors. Results The areas under the ROC curve for ALP, Hb, CRP, and ESR were 0.84, 0.76, 0.86 and 0.88, respectively, suggesting excellent discriminatory capability of ALP, CRP, ESR and sufficient discriminative ability of Hb in predicting bone metastasis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed ALP, CRP, Hb and ESR associated with SRE and skeletal metastasis. Conclusion We propose that an A.C.H.E. score encompassing ALP, CRP, Hb, and ESR are potential risk factors for developing SRE and concomitant bone metastasis in advanced RCC patients. For new RCC patients, if values of ALP >128 U/L, CRP ≥74 mg/L, Hb <11.5 g/L, and ESR ≥55 mm/hr are detected, intensive monitoring and bone scanning are warranted as these cases are at a higher risk of skeletal events.