Abstract

Subject Singapore's political outlook after Lee Kuan Yew's death. Significance Lee Kuan Yew died yesterday. Having served as prime minister -- Singapore's first -- for 31 years and continuing in other roles to 2011, Lee established a formidable legacy as the principal architect of the Singaporean state and its ruling People's Action Party (PAP). Lee's death poses no challenge to the stability of the PAP or Singapore itself. The PAP will continue to mobilise Lee's image as the nation's founder constantly to reaffirm its legitimacy, but it cannot be complacent with this legacy, as its recent budget implies. Impacts Elections will become gradually more competitive; the PAP is secure for now. As opposition political parties grow in number, they will probably organise for electoral advantage. Social welfare spending will rise as the PAP attempts to retain support, potentially requiring further tax increases.

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