Abstract
A destination choice model is developed, using a coordinates-based methodology, to resolve the problems arising from zone systems on which most models developed so far are based. To evaluate destination choice probabilities and simulate choice behavior efficiently with huge choices sets, the MCMC method is applied. The distribution of destination locations obtained by a simulation on a hypothetical uniform area is almost identical to the theoretical distribution, suggesting the validity of the MCMC method. From the result of a simulation run in Kyoto, it is confirmed that the MCMC method is a useful technique as a method of forecasting destination choice behavior with huge choice sets.
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