Abstract

There are many uncertainties in the construction process of water conservancy and hydropower projects. The risk analysis of project completion should consider the constraints and overlaps of various resource allocations and procedures. A fault tree risk analysis method is used to comprehensively evaluate the risks of various factors affecting the construction progress of the project. A large-scale water conservancy project construction schedule risk estimation model is solved using an appropriate method, which improves the calculation and application of schedule risk estimation, proposes control concepts of baseline schedule risk and revised schedule risk, and is verified using engineering examples.

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