Abstract

BackgroundPoliovirus importations and related outbreaks occurred in the Horn of Africa (HoA) following an initial outbreak, which started in Somalia, spread into Kenya within ten days and later into Ethiopia and gradually to other countries in the region. National preparedness plans for responding to poliovirus introduction were insufficient in many countries of the Region. We describe a series of polio outbreak simulation exercises that were implemented to formally test polio outbreak preparedness plans in the HoA countries, as a step to interrupting further transmission.MethodsThe Polio Outbreak Simulation Exercises (POSEs) were designed and implemented. The results were evaluated and recommendations made. The roles of outbreak simulation exercises in maintaining regional polio-free status were assessed. In addition, we performed a comprehensive review of the national plans of all for seven countries in the HoA Region.ResultsSeven simulation exercises, delivered between 2016 and 2017 revealed that participating countries were generally prepared for poliovirus introduction, but the level of preparedness needed improvement. The areas in particular need of strengthening were national preparedness plans, initial response, plans for securing vaccine supply, and communications.ConclusionsPolio outbreak simulation exercises can be valuable tools to help maintain polio-free status and should be extended to other high-risk countries and subnational areas in the HoA Region and elsewhere. There is also need to standardize the process and methods for conducting POSE for comparability.

Highlights

  • The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) has recorded tremendous progress in the fight to eradicate polio and make the world polio free[1,2,3,4,5]

  • As of the end of 2013, the polio outbreak in the Horn of Africa was on the decline and the total number of polio cases stood at 203 (183 from Somalia, 14 from Kenya and six from Ethiopia)

  • The Polio Outbreak Simulation Exercises (POSEs) series of tabletop exercises was designed and delivered by a core team made of the Horn of Africa Coordinating office in Kenya and WHO Headquarters as well as UNICEF ESARO for communication

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Summary

Introduction

The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) has recorded tremendous progress in the fight to eradicate polio and make the world polio free[1,2,3,4,5]. Though the sporadic outbreaks of polioviruses in the Horn of Africa had been brought under control, risk assessments continued to show possibilities of outbreaks, given the performance of the region on surveillance indicators as well as routine immunization coverage in the area. This reality prompted the Horn of Africa Technical Advisory Group (TAG) to call for intensification of efforts in order to keep the virus permanently out of the region and complete the job[9]. We describe a series of polio outbreak simulation exercises that were implemented to formally test polio outbreak preparedness plans in the HoA countries, as a step to interrupting further transmission

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