Abstract
By the methods of system dynamics, a model prediction of the potential of cleaner production (PCP) in Liao River Basin was constructed, and the dynamic trend of PCP in Liao River Basin was simulated by using this model. It was predicted that under the conditions of maintaining present development schemes, the CPC in Liao River Basin in 2000-2020 would be increased year by year. The result showed that selected 2007 as the base year, with the cleaner production, the emission of COD and NH3-N would be reduced 10.7% and 13.6% respectively in 2010. The emissions of these would be reduced 26.6% and 35.0% in 2015, 40.5% and 54.6% in 2020. Cleaner production had obvious effect on water saving and emission reduction in Liao River Basin.
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