Significance of fragmented QRS complexes for predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation after cavotricuspid isthmus–dependent atrial flutter ablation

Abstract

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cavotricuspid isthmus (CTI)-dependent atrial flutter (AFL) are 2 separate entities that coexist in a significant proportion of patients. In patients with CTI ablation of AFL, the decision to hold anticoagulation often becomes an issue. This study aimed to describe the incidence of the development of AF after CTI ablation in patients without a history of AF and to identify the risk predictors of the occurrence of AF. The present study included 120 consecutive patients (106 men; mean age 68 ± 12 years) who underwent radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) of typical AFL since 2010. Patients with a history of AF before RFCA were excluded. The P-wave and QRS morphology, characteristics, and duration were evaluated by 12-lead electrocardiography the day after ablation. During 3.6 ± 2.6 years of follow-up after RFCA, 49 patients (41%) developed new-onset AF. A univariate analysis revealed that the presence of fragmented QRS (fQRS) complexes (hazard ratio [HR], 4.63; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.31-9.29; P < .001) and advanced interatrial block (IAB), defined as P-wave duration > 120 ms and biphasic morphology in the inferior leads (HR 4.44; 95% CI 2.45-8.01; P < .001), were predictors of new-onset AF. A multivariate analysis revealed that fQRS complexes (HR 3.35; 95% CI 1.58-7.10; P = .002) and advanced IAB (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.38-5.07; P < .004) were independent predictors. The present study indicated that new-onset AF developed in a significant proportion of patients undergoing AFL ablation. The presence of fQRS complexes and advanced IAB were predictors of new-onset AF.