Abstract

In this work, we propose that small wood core samples (≤10 cm length), taken from 0.3 m above the soil, represent an accurate means of correlating forest growth with remote sensing data. Short-term correlations between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and tree-ring components of the last three to four decades were tested, using 210 Pinus hartwegii wood cores collected at two locations, Tláloc (TLA) and Jocotitlán (JOCO) in central Mexico. The NDVI time series were generated with the Google Earth Engine (GEE) using Landsat 8 images. Also, seasonal trends in NDVI (e.g., spring, summer, autumn, winter) were analyzed through longitudinal analysis. The results showed more statistically significant dendrochronological indices in TLA than in JOCO, but both locations consistently showed an NDVI decrease in 2018 and 2020, indicating a reduction in vegetation vigor. At the two locations, the minimum and maximum NDVI occurred in April and October, respectively. Seasonal NDVI changes for spring were mainly seen at TLA with a decreasing trend, which may be related to a less defined dry season. The significant correlations (p < 0.05) between tree-ring components and the NDVI occurred in the dry season, indicating that the productivity of a given year is defined by the tree vigor shown in April and May, in the case of TLA, and between January and March, for JOCO. Although the NDVI values of JOCO were higher than those of TLA, tree growth, expressed by tree-ring indices, was lower. Our proposed field method to correlate tree-ring information and the NDVI is reliable and can be used in other coniferous forests.

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