Short-Term Electricity Load and Price Forecasting using Enhanced KNN

Abstract

In this paper, we introduced a new enhanced technique, to resolve the issue of electricity price and load forecasting. In Smart Grids (SGs) Price and load forecasting is the major issue. Framework of enhanced technique comprises of classification and feature engineering. Feature engineering comprises of feature selection and feature extraction. Decision Tree Regression (DTR) is used for feature selection. Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) is used for feature selection which eliminates the redundancy of features. The second step of feature engineering, feature extraction, is done using Singular Value Decomposition (SVD), which reduces the dimensionality of features. Last step is to predict the load and forecast. For forecasting electricity load and price, two existing techniques, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and a newly proposed technique known as Enhanced KNN (EKNN) is being used. The proposed technique outperforms than MLP and KNN in terms of accuracy. KNN is working on nonparametric method which is used for classification and regression.