Short-term wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model that integrates PSO-LSSVM and XGBoost

Abstract

Abstract A groundbreaking method is proposed to mitigate the impact of unpredictable fluctuations in wind velocity on wind power generation. This innovative approach integrates the particle swarm optimization (PSO)-least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) and XGBoost models in a harmonious manner. Initially, the raw wind speed data is subjected to wavelet threshold denoising to reduce noise and volatility. For short-term wind speed prediction, a PSO-LSSVM-XGBoost model is introduced. After the initial wind speed sequence undergoes wavelet threshold denoising, the enhanced sequence is forecasted using the LSSVM model, with its hyperparameters optimized through the PSO algorithm. The errors, obtained by subtracting the predicted values from the original data, are compensated using XGBoost. The final forecast results combine the rectified error data with the initial projected results. Experimental findings demonstrate the model’s remarkable capability to enhance prediction performance and accuracy.