Short-Term Wind Power Dynamic Prediction Based on GA-BP Neural Network

Abstract

This paper proposes a short-term wind power dynamic prediction model based on GA-BP neural network. Different from conventional prediction models, the proposed approach incorporates a prediction error adjusting strategy into neural network based prediction model to realize the function of model parameters self-adjusting, thus increase the prediction accuracy. Genetic algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of BP neural network. The wind power prediction results from different models with and without error adjusting strategy are compared. The comparative results show that the proposed dynamic prediction approach can provide more accurate wind power forecasting.