Short-term voltage instability prediction using pre-identified voltage templates and machine learning classifiers

Abstract

System operators use different procedures to detect disturbances which can lead to short-term voltage instability. These schemes are designed using the domain knowledge and generally specific for the corresponding system. The design procedure of such schemes is heuristic and cannot be directly applied to any other power system. This paper proposes a data-driven approach to predict short-term voltage stability using set of post-disturbance voltage templates and a machine learning-based classifier. In this scheme, a set of voltage templates corresponding to stable/unstable events is identified for selected buses using a suitably generated training data set. The proximity of real-time voltage trajectory to each of the template is computed and input to a trained machine learning classifier to predict the short-term voltage stability status. The proposed approach is validated using IEEE Nordic test system. The investigations show that this method provides accurate short-term voltage stability predictions. Furthermore, impact of adverse phenomena such as measurement noise and missing data on the proposed method is analyzed to confirm the robustness of this scheme in particle environments. © 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.