Short Term Single Station GNSS TEC Prediction Using Radial Basis Function Neural Network

Abstract

TEC prediction models for 24 hours ahead have been developed from JOG2 GPS TEC data during 2016. Eleven month of TEC data were used as a training model of the radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and 1 month of last data (December 2016) is used for the RBFNN model testing. The RBFNN inputs are the previous 24 hour TEC data and the minimum of Dst index during the previous 24 hours. Outputs of the model are 24 ahead TEC prediction. Comparison of model prediction show that the RBFNN model is able to predict the next 24 hours TEC is more accurate than the TEC GIM model.