Short-Term Prognostics of PEM Fuel Cells: A Comparative and Improvement Study

Abstract

As one of the most promising types of fuel cells, the proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) can be utilized in many applications. However, it still faces two main challenges before large-scale industrial applications, namely short lifetime and high costs. The aim of this paper is to establish an accurate online short-term prognostics method to help users extend the lifetime and reduce the cost of PEMFCs. First, we compare the short-term prognostics accuracy and computational efficiency of several different methods including the Elman neural network, the group method of data handling, the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with different fuzzy inference system creation strategies, and the wavelet decomposition approach. Test results show that the ANFIS with fuzzy c-means (ANFIS-FCM) strategy has the best short-term prognostics performance. Then, we propose an automatic parameter adjustment method for ANFIS-FCM by using the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. Test results show that the PSO algorithm can effectively adjust the parameters and achieve improved prognostics results. Finally, the proposed prognostics methods are verified on a PEMFC experimental platform. Experimental results show that the proposed methods have great potential for practical applications.