Short Term Prediction Model of Environmental Parameters in Typical Solar Greenhouse Based on Deep Learning Neural Network

Abstract

The type of single-slope solar greenhouse is mainly used for vegetable production in China. The coupling of heat storage and release courses and the dynamic change in the outdoor weather parameters momentarily affect the indoor environment. Due to the high cost of small weather stations, the environmental parameters monitored by the nearest meteorological stations are usually used as outdoor environmental parameters in China. In order to accurately predict the solar greenhouse and crop water demand, this paper proposes three deep learning models, including neural network regression (DNNR), long short-term memory (LSTM), and convolutional neural network-long- short-term memory (CNN-LSTM), and the hyperparameters of three models were determined by orthogonal experimental design (OD). The temperature and relative humidity monitored by the indoor sensors and outdoor weather station were taken as the inputs of models, the temperature and relative humidity 3, 6, 12 and 24 h in advance were taken as the output, 16 combinations of input and output data of two typical solar greenhouses were trained separately by three deep learning models, those models were trained 144, 144 and 288 times, respectively. The best model of three type models at four prediction time points were selected, respectively. For the forecast time point of 12 h in advance, the errors of the best LSTM and CNN-LSTM models in two greenhouses were all smaller than the DNNR models. For the three other time points, the results show that the DNNR models have excellent prediction accuracy among the three models. The maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, and ETo were also accurately predicted using the corresponding optimized models. In sum, this study provided an optimized deep learning prediction model for environmental parameters of greenhouse and provides technical support for irrigation decision-making and water allocation.