Short-term clinical outcomes and risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting

Abstract

Objective: To explore short-term clinical outcomes and risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG) and establish a prediction model for in-hospital mortality. Methods: The clinical data of patients undergoing OPCABG in Beijing Anzhen Hospital between January 2014 and January 2016 was retrospectively studied. Univariate analysis and logistic regression were applied to determine the potential risk factors, and then a prediction model for mortality was confirmed. The calibration and discrimination of the prediction model was finally tested. Results: A total of 2 546 patients who underwent OPCABG were recruited. In-hospital mortality of OPCABG was 0.7% (17 cases). Seven variables: female, age, left main disease >50%, low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), acute myocardial infarction before surgery, operative status (selective or emergent), moderate concomitant mitral valve regurgitation were independently correlated with OPCABG mortality (all P<0.05). The result of Hosmer-Lemeshow test was χ(2)=5.912, P=0.676. The area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.881. Conclusions: OPCABG is safe and effective for myocardial revascularization in a short term. The following risk factors are associated with an increased operative mortality of OPCABG: male, age, left main disease >50%, low LVEF, acute myocardial infarction before surgery, operative status (selective or emergent), moderate concomitant mitral valve regurgitation. The prediction model established by above-mentioned potential risk factors was proven to perform well by statistical tests.