Abstract

Most new cases and the highest mortality rates of breast cancer occur among middle-aged and old women. The recurrence rate of early-stage invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) among women aged ≥ 50 years and receiving different treatments remains unclear. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine these rates. We used Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data for this nationwide population-based cohort study. All women aged ≥ 50 years and diagnosed with early-stage IDC between 2000 and 2015 were identified and divided into three treatment groups, namely, breast conservation therapy (BCT), mastectomy alone (MAS), and mastectomy with radiation therapy (MAS + RT). The recurrence rates of IDC among these groups were then compared. The BCT group had a lower short-term recurrence risk than the MAS and MAS + RT groups (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.00 vs. 2.90 [95% CI 1.36–2.66] vs. 2.07 [95% CI 0.97–4.44]); however, the BCT group also had a higher long-term recurrence risk than MAS and MAS + RT groups (HR 1.00 vs. 0.30 [95% CI 0.26–0.35] vs. 0.43 [95% CI 0.30–0.63]). The high long-term recurrence rate of the BCT group was especially prominent at the 10- and 15-year follow-ups. The results provide valuable evidence of the most reliable treatment strategy for this population. Further studies including more variables and validation in other countries are warranted to confirm our findings.

Highlights

  • Most new cases and the highest mortality rates of breast cancer occur among middle-aged and old women

  • The mastectomy alone (MAS) + RT group had a higher percentage of three positive lymph nodes than the breast conservation therapy (BCT) and MAS groups

  • ER- and PR-positive tumors were present in 82.2% and 71.0%, respectively, of the total population and more common in the BCT group than in other groups

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Summary

Introduction

Most new cases and the highest mortality rates of breast cancer occur among middle-aged and old women. The recurrence rate of early-stage invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) among women aged ≥ 50 years and receiving different treatments remains unclear. A previous nationwide population-based study by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database revealed that women with early-stage IDC receiving BCT have better 5- and 10-year survival rates than those receiving MAS or MAS + R­ T7. Few studies on recurrence rates following different treatments in middle-aged and old women with early-stage IDC have been published. Local recurrence is important to overall survival because local failure predicts distant metastasis in the f­uture[8] We conducted this nationwide population-based cohort study to assess the short- and long-term recurrence rates of early-stage IDC in middle-aged and old women following different treatments. Our hypothesis is that women receiving BCT will have a lower recurrence rate than those receiving MAS or MAS + RT

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