Short- and long-term outcomes of patients with minor stroke and nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Abstract

Background and purposeNonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is a risk factor for stroke. This study was undertaken to determine the influence of NVAF on the mortality and recurrent stroke after a minor stroke event.MethodsData were derived from the Third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR-III) which enrolled 15,166 subjects during August 2015 through March 2018 in China. Patients with minor stroke (NIHSS ≤ 5) within 24 h after onset were included. Clinical outcomes including all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, recurrent ischemic stroke, and recurrent hemorrhagic stroke were collected. The Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between NVAF and clinical outcomes.ResultsA total of 4,753 patients were included in our study. Of them, 222 patients had NVAF (4.7%) (mean age, 71.1 years) and 4,531 patients were without AF (95.3%) (mean age, 61.4 years). NVAF was associated with 12-month cardiovascular mortality in both univariate (hazards ratio [HR], 4.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.84 to 9.31; P < 0.001) and multivariate analyses (HR, 4.66; 95% CI, 1.79 to 12.15; P = 0.001). There was no difference in the in-hospital ischemic stroke recurrence rate between the two groups (HR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.19 to 1.05] P = 0.07 at discharge). However, patients with NVAF had a lower rate of recurrent ischemic stroke at medium- (3 months and 6 months) and long-term (12 months) follow-up (HR, 0.33 [95% CI, 0.16 to 0.68] P = 0.003 at 3 months; 0.49 [95% CI, 0.27 to 0.89] P = 0.02 at 6 months; 0.55 [95% CI, 0.32 to 0.94] P = 0.03 at 12 months, respectively) compared with those without. There was no difference in all-cause mortality and hemorrhagic stroke between the two groups during follow-up.ConclusionsMinor stroke patients with NVAF were at higher risk of cardiovascular death but had a lower rate of recurrent ischemic stroke compared to those without during the subsequent year after stroke event. A more accurate stroke risk prediction model for NVAF is warranted for optimal patient care strategies.