Shoreline Changes from Erosion and Sea Level Rise with Coastal Management in Phuket, Thailand

Abstract

Phuket, the study area of this work with 33 sandy beaches, provides about 15% of the nation’s gross domestic product from the tourism industry. Many factors cause shoreline changes affecting beach areas, such as seasonal erosion and rising sea levels. In this study, shoreline position was the key parameter for evaluating shoreline changes. The CoastSat open-source software was selected to analyze the shoreline changes using a publicly available satellite imagery API. The future shoreline recession was projected using the Bruun rule integrated with field observation data and sea level rise scenarios from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The result indicated that eight of the study site’s locations were under mild erosion from 2013 to 2021. The average shoreline change varied between −4.10 and 5.47 m/year. The projection of future beach loss due to sea level rise found that 20 beaches and 32 beaches will be lost entirely under SSP1 2.6 and SSP5 8.5, respectively. Beach morphology is influenced by human-induced activities, such as coastal urbanization and the development of structures along the coast. This study discusses the effectiveness of the present coastal protection structure with data from field observations and suggests possible future management strategies.