Abstract

Background Conflicting findings have been reported regarding the sex-specific association between serum uric acid (SUA) level and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk, and no study has explored the association between the change in hyperuricemia status and T2DM risk. The study was aimed at exploring the sex-specific association of baseline SUA and changes in hyperuricemia status with T2DM risk. Methods We included 37,296 eligible adults without T2DM at the first examination who attended the baseline examination and at least one follow-up annual examination. Cox and logistic regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (ORs) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for T2DM risk associated with baseline SUA and the change in hyperuricemia status, respectively. Results During a median follow-up of 3.09 years, of 37,296 eligible adults, 2,263 developed T2DM. Compared with the first SUA quartile, higher quartiles were associated with an increased risk of T2DM in women (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.17-2.71 for Q3 and 1.93, 1.27-2.93 for Q4; Ptrend < 0.001) but not in men. Compared with women with a persistent normal SUA level at baseline and the last follow-up, T2DM risk increased significantly among those whose SUA status changed from normal at baseline to hyperuricemia at the last follow-up (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.12-2.55) and those with persistent hyperuricemia at baseline and the last follow-up (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.60-3.46). However, for men, a nonsignificant association was found between the change in hyperuricemia status and T2DM risk. Conclusions Baseline SUA and the change in hyperuricemia status were associated with T2DM risk only among women. The findings suggest the importance of monitoring SUA levels and maintaining them within a normal range for preventing or reducing incident T2DM in Chinese women.

Highlights

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is considered a public health concern worldwide

  • We found that serum uric acid (SUA) was positively associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Chinese longitudinal cohort study only among women, and the association might be modified by age and body mass index (BMI) at baseline

  • We further found that T2DM risk increased significantly among women with the change from normal SUA level at baseline to hyperuricemia at the last follow-up and with persistent hyperuricemia at baseline and the last follow-up, compared with the risk associated with persistent normal SUA level at baseline and the last follow-up

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Summary

Introduction

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is considered a public health concern worldwide. The International Diabetes Federation estimated that the number of T2DM patients worldwide was 425 million in 2017 and was expected to increase to 629 million by 2045 [1]. Evidence on the sex-specific differences in the SUA level-T2DM risk association is limited and has resulted in conflicting findings [2, 5, 6, 12, 15, 16], with studies showing a significant association in both sexes [12], only women [2], or only men [4, 5, 15]. Conflicting findings have been reported regarding the sex-specific association between serum uric acid (SUA) level and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk, and no study has explored the association between the change in hyperuricemia status and T2DM risk. The study was aimed at exploring the sex-specific association of baseline SUA and changes in hyperuricemia status with T2DM risk. The findings suggest the importance of monitoring SUA levels and maintaining them within a normal range for preventing or reducing incident T2DM in Chinese women

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