Sex Differences in Long-term Heart Failure Prognosis: A Comprehensive Meta-Analysis.

Abstract

Sex differences in the long-term prognosis of heart failure (HF) remain controversial, and there is a lack of comprehensive pooling of the sex differences in outcomes of HF. This study aims to characterize the sex differences in the long-term prognosis of HF and explore whether these differences vary by age, HF course, left ventricular ejection fraction, region, period of study, study design, and follow-up duration. A systematic review was conducted using Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, from January 1, 1990, to March 31, 2024. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality (ACM), and the secondary outcomes included cardiovascular mortality (CVM), hospitalization for HF (HHF), all-cause hospitalization, a composite of ACM and HHF, and a composite of CVM and HHF. Pooled hazard risks (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random effects meta-analysis. 94 studies (comprising 96 cohorts) were included in the meta-analysis, representing 706,247 participants (56.5% were men, the mean age was 71.0 years). Female HF patients had a lower risk of ACM (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.85; I2=84.9%), CVM (HR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.79, 0.89; I2=70.7%), HHF (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89, 0.98; I2=84.0%), and composite endpoints (ACM+HHF: HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83, 0.95; I2=80.0%; CVM+HHF: HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.77, 0.93; I2=87.9%) compared to males. Subgroup analysis revealed that the lower risk of mortality observed in women was more pronounced among individuals with long-course HF (i.e., chronic HF, follow-up duration >2 years) or recruited in the randomized controlled trials. (P for interaction <0.05). Female HF patients had a better prognosis compared to males, with lower risks of ACM, CVM, HHF, and composite endpoints. Despite the underrepresentation of female populations in HF clinical trials, their mortality benefits tended to be lower than in real-world settings. PROSPERO: CRD42024526100.