Abstract

This study was focused on Hangzhou in China that are undergoing large-scale subway construction, and an improved momentum back-propagation (BP) neural network model was trained. The model can analyze the complex traffic data, evaluate the service quality of bus line, and improve the estimation accuracy and convergence speed. For the same training data set, the convergence time of the BP algorithm with momentum term is reduced by 0.043 secs, the iterative convergence speed is improved by 0.66%, and the estimation accuracy is improved by 26.7% compared with the standard BP algorithm. Under similar conditions, the convergence time is 1.562 secs less than that of the standard BP algorithm, and the convergence speed was 24.1% higher than that of the standard BP algorithm, and the absolute value of the estimated error was less than 1%. Finally, a representative bus line in Hangzhou was used as an example to evaluate the model. The results showed that the improved momentum BP neural network model had a faster convergence speed and higher prediction accuracy of the comprehensive weight of bus line service quality. The prediction results of the model are consistent with the actual survey results, which indicates that the model constructed is reasonable.

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