Abstract

BackgroundSerum phosphate is a known risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD), however data on the association of these outcomes with serum phosphate in the general population are scarce. We investigate this relationship in people with and without CKD in a large community-based population.MethodsThree groups from an adult cohort of the Quality Improvement in Chronic Kidney Disease (QICKD) cluster randomised trial (ISRCTN56023731) were followed over a period of 2.5 years: people with normal renal function (N = 24,184), people with CKD stages 1–2 (N = 20,356), and people with CKD stages 3–5 (N = 13,292). We used a multilevel logistic regression model to determine the association between serum phosphate, in these groups, and a composite outcome of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and advanced coronary artery disease. We adjusted for known cardiovascular risk factors.FindingsHigher phosphate levels were found to correlate with increased cardiovascular risk. In people with normal renal function and CKD stages 1–2, Phosphate levels between 1.25 and 1.50 mmol/l were associated with increased cardiovascular events; odds ratio (OR) 1.36 (95% CI 1.06–1.74; p = 0.016) in people with normal renal function and OR 1.40 (95% CI 1.09–1.81; p = 0.010) in people with CKD stages 1–2. Hypophosphatemia (<0.75 mmol/l) was associated with fewer cardiovascular events in people with normal renal function; OR 0.59 (95% CI 0.36–0.97; p = 0.049). In people with CKD stages 3–5, hyperphosphatemia (>1.50 mmol/l) was associated with increased cardiovascular risk; OR 2.34 (95% CI 1.64–3.32; p<0.001). Other phosphate ranges were not found to have a significant impact on cardiovascular events in people with CKD stages 3–5.ConclusionsSerum phosphate is associated with cardiovascular events in people with and without CKD. Further research is required to determine the mechanisms underlying these associations.

Highlights

  • Observational data suggest that an elevated serum phosphate increases the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) [1,2,3,4]

  • Serum phosphate is associated with cardiovascular events in people with and without CKD

  • Secondary hyperparathyroidism is common in people with CKD and subsequently altered calcium and vitamin D metabolism may be responsible for this increased arterial calcification [7]

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Summary

Introduction

Observational data suggest that an elevated serum phosphate increases the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) [1,2,3,4]. Elevated phosphate correlates with increased vascular and valvular calcification in people with normal renal function [8,9] and an association with cardiovascular events has been reported in people with pre-existing coronary artery disease [10] and in the general population [11,12,13]. Serum phosphate is a known risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD), data on the association of these outcomes with serum phosphate in the general population are scarce. We investigate this relationship in people with and without CKD in a large community-based population

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