Serum Chloride and Admission Status Are Potential Prognostic Markers of High-Risk Polyps: A Prospective Characterization of Colorectal Polyps in a Tertiary Hospital in Saudi Arabia.

Abstract

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most common cancer in men in Saudi Arabia. Other than age and family history, clinical and laboratory prognostic surrogates that may aid in streamlining and prioritization of screening colonoscopies are scarce. Through the examination of the local prevalence of advanced and malignant colorectal polyps, we hypothesized that the presence of certain clinical or laboratory parameters may signify an association with having high-risk polyps.Methods: A prospective study over a period of one year starting on January 21, 2018 and involving all adult patients undergoing colonoscopy at King Saud Medical City, Riyadh. Of the total 1,104 recruited patients, 717 were included. The patients were sub-grouped based on the presence or absence of polyps. Patients with polyps were further sub-grouped into high-risk or low-risk polyps. Comparisons between groups were performed using univariate, relative risks (RRs), and multivariate analyses.Results: Our polyp detection rate was 34.7% and our adenoma detection rate was 21.3%. The prevalence of advanced adenoma was 15.2% and the prevalence of malignant polyps was 6.7%. Several prognostic markers were associated with high-risk polyps such as advanced age (RR = 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03 to 1.78), male gender (RR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.31), inpatient status (RR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.04 to 2.21), and low serum chloride (RR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.05 to 2.37). With multivariate analysis, the hazard ratios for inpatient status and hypochloremia were 1.67 (95% CI: 1.034 to 2.612) and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.011 to 1.265), respectively.Conclusion: We report the prevalence of malignant colorectal polyps in Saudi Arabia which was not reported before. Two unique prognostic markers for high-risk polyps were identified, namely, inpatient status and hypochloremia.