Abstract

A large-scale multicenter study validated aldo-keto reductase 1B10 (AKR1B10) as a new serum marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of serum AKR1B10 in HCC. 273 naïve HCC patients enrolled for serum AKR1B10 tests were followed up for 2years. Survival and clinical data were collected. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests were used to estimate correlation of patient survival with serum AKR1B10. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic value of serum AKR1B10 level independently or in combination with other clinicopathological factors. α-fetoprotein (AFP) was analyzed in parallel for comparison. Serum AKR1B10 associated with tumor stage (p = 0.012), size (p = 0.004), primary tumor number (p = 0.019), and Child-Pugh classification (p = 0.003). HCC patients with a high level of serum AKR1B10 (≥ 267.9pg/ml) had median survival (MS) of 25months (95% confidence interval [CI] 20.788-29.212) vs. MS of 34months (CI 28.911-39.089) in patients with normal serum AKR1B10 (p < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses showed that serum AKR1B10 level was an unfavorable prognostic marker of HCC independently (HR 1.830, 95% CI 1.312-2.552; p < 0.001) or in combination with other clinical factors (HR 1.883, 95% CI 1.264-2.806; p = 0.002), such as TNM stage, tumor size and portal invasion. In the same cohort of HCC patients, AFP exhibited prognostic value at a cut-off of 400ng/ml, but not at 20ng/ml and 200ng/ml. Serum AKR1B10 is a new prognostic marker of HCC, better than AFP.

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