Abstract

Abstract Objective The aim of the present work was to investigate the prognostic value of serological ferritin, 100A12, procalcitonin (PCT) and APACHEII score in predicting death risk for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Methods Forty eight ARDS patients were recruited from Feb. 2016 to Jan. 2019 from Lishui People’s Hospital. According to their prognosis (survival or death within 28 days), these 48 patients were further divided into the survival group (n=28) and death group (n=20). The serological levels of S100A12, PCT and ferritin of the 48 ARDS patients were examined within 24 hours after hospitalization. Demographic characteristics, serum S100A12, PCT and ferritin were compared between the two groups, and diagnostic analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical efficacy of these markers in predicting the death of ARDS patients. Results The serum S100A12, ferritin and APACHEII scores of the death group were significantly higher than those of the survival group (p<0.05). However, serum PCT levels were not statistically different between the two groups (p>0.05). The death prediction sensitivity for serum S100A12, PCT, ferritin and APACHEII score were 65.0 (40.78-84.61)%, 60.00(36.05-80.88) %,75.0(50.90-91.34)% and 85.0(62.11-96.79)% respectively. The death prediction specificity for serum S100A12, PCT, ferritin and APACHEII score were 75.0(55.13-89.31)%, 60.00(36.05-80.88)%, 64.29(44.07-81.36)% and 82.14(63.11-93.94)%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for serum S100A12, PCT, ferritin and APACHEII score were 0.68(0.51-0.84), 0.63(0.46-0.79), 0.71(0.56-0.86) and 0.91(0.83-0.99) respectively. Conclusion Serological ferritin, 100A12, PCT and APACHEII scores can be used as biomarkers to predict the death risk of ARDS patients.

Highlights

  • Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is an inflammation syndrome that can be caused by severe trauma, infection, shock and non-cardiogenic disease [1,2,3,4]

  • Serological ferritin, 100A12, PCT and APACHEII scores can be used as biomarkers to predict the death risk of ARDS patients

  • According to prognosis, the 48 ARDS cases were divided into a survival group (n=28) and a death group (n=20)

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Summary

Introduction

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is an inflammation syndrome that can be caused by severe trauma, infection, shock and non-cardiogenic disease [1,2,3,4]. It had been reported that there are 190,600 ARDS seen in the United States every year, with a fatality rate of 40%-60% [8]. There is no comprehensive data on the incidence of ARDS in China. Eworuke et al [9] estimate the incidence of ARDS to be about 59 cases for every 100,000 people, with an annual increase of about 670,000 ARDS patients according to the data form the U.S With the continuous development of medical technology, the prognosis of ARDS has been improved; the mortality rate of ADRS still remains as high as 50%, and 80% of the deaths occur just 2-3 weeks after disease onset [8].

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