Abstract

Laboratory models are often used to understand the interaction of related pathogens via host immunity. For example, recent experiments where ferrets were exposed to two influenza strains within a short period of time have shown how the effects of cross-immunity vary with the time between exposures and the specific strains used. On the other hand, studies of the workings of different arms of the immune response, and their relative importance, typically use experiments involving a single infection. However, inferring the relative importance of different immune components from this type of data is challenging. Using simulations and mathematical modelling, here we investigate whether the sequential infection experiment design can be used not only to determine immune components contributing to cross-protection, but also to gain insight into the immune response during a single infection. We show that virological data from sequential infection experiments can be used to accurately extract the timing and extent of cross-protection. Moreover, the broad immune components responsible for such cross-protection can be determined. Such data can also be used to infer the timing and strength of some immune components in controlling a primary infection, even in the absence of serological data. By contrast, single infection data cannot be used to reliably recover this information. Hence, sequential infection data enhances our understanding of the mechanisms underlying the control and resolution of infection, and generates new insight into how previous exposure influences the time course of a subsequent infection.

Highlights

  • The influenza virus infects epithelial cells in the respiratory tract, causing respiratory symptoms such as coughing and sneezing, and systemic symptoms such as fever

  • Using simulations and mathematical modelling, here we investigate whether the sequential infection experiment design can be used to determine immune components contributing to cross-protection, and to gain insight into the immune response during a single infection

  • Our analysis has shown that the sequential infection study design, compared to the single infection study design, provides richer information for inferring the timing and strength of each immune component

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Summary

Introduction

The influenza virus infects epithelial cells in the respiratory tract, causing respiratory symptoms such as coughing and sneezing, and systemic symptoms such as fever. Experiments have revealed the contribution of each major immune component to resolution of an infection, by suppressing each immune component in turn [1,2,3,4,5]. Current mathematical models do not agree on how each major immune component contributes quantitatively. A study by Dobrovolny et al [1] highlights these discrepancies. The study showed that eight existing viral dynamics models [6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13] made different qualitative predictions when different components of the immune response were removed. The discrepancies arose because many models were only fitted to viral load data from a single infection

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