Abstract

A sensitivity analysis of HOME2, the residential energy use component of Argonne National Laboratory's Commercial and Residential Energy Use and Emissions Simulation (CRESS), has been carried out using an automated analysis tool developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. HOME2 projects US residential sector energy use from a number of historical and projected economic and demographic parameters. The energy use projections from HOME2 are used in later modules of CRESS to estimate future emissions for five fossil energy-related atmosphere pollutants. Sensitivities of energy use projections to the various driver and control parameters are presented in this report. Automated sensitivity analysis provides the ability to explore many aspects of model behavior. In the early phases of this study, sensitivity analysis of a predecessor version of HOME2 (June 1986) revealed anomalous behavior in several areas, which led to detection and correction of some difficulties in that version of the residential energy use module of CRESS.

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