Semi-markov decision problems and performance sensitivity analysis

Abstract

Recent research indicates that Markov decision processes (MDPs) can be viewed from a sensitivity point of view; and the perturbation analysis (PA), MDPs, and reinforcement learning (RL) are three closely related areas in optimization of discrete-event dynamic systems that can be modeled as Markov processes. The goal of this paper is two-fold. First, we develop the PA theory for semi-Markov processes (SMPs); and then we extend the aforementioned results about the relation among PA, MDP, and RL to SMPs. In particular, we show that performance sensitivity formulas and policy iteration algorithms of semi-Markov decision processes can be derived based on the performance potential and realization matrix. Both the long-run average and discounted-cost problems are considered. This approach provides a unified framework for both problems, and the long-run average problem corresponds to the discounted factor being zero. The results indicate that performance sensitivities and optimization depend only on first-order statistics. Single sample path-based implementations are discussed.