Abstract

This is the first study to use the self-organisation (Kohonen) map technique, an artificial neural network based on a non-supervised learning algorithm, to categorise Vietnamese banks into super-class groups. Drawing on unbalanced yearly data from 2008 to 2017, this study identifies two super-class groups (one and two). While group one consists of joint stock banks, group two consists of commercial state and joint stock banks. Using the non-structural indicator, the Lerner index, to capture market power, and the data enveloped analysis technique to measure bank performance, our result shows significant differences in Lerner scores (which represent bank market power) of the two groups of banks. Differences in the Lerner scores provide evidence of a group of strong banks that is isolated from other banks. This implies that this strong bank group has the potential to be monopolist and impairs Vietnam’s competitive banking environment. The reason is that group two banks may be more profitable due to greater market power, whereas group one banks may struggle to cut costs to remain viable. These findings provide a better understanding for bank executives, policymakers and regulators of the Vietnam banking industry, and ensure an efficient and competitive Vietnam banking environment.

Highlights

  • After the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), Vietnam banks faced unprecedented challenges, including economic recession, credit growth rate stagnation and extraordinary levels of non-performing loans (KPMG 2013)

  • This study shows that the self-organisation map (SOM) technique

  • This study shows that the SOM technique can better capture differences in bank market power and can be used to divide Vietnam domestic banks into two groups, consisting of weak banks and strong banks

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Summary

Introduction

After the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), Vietnam banks faced unprecedented challenges, including economic recession, credit growth rate stagnation and extraordinary levels of non-performing loans (KPMG 2013). As scholars note, M&As reduce the total number of banks and increase market concentration (Fernández de Guevara et al 2005). This increase in bank concentration has drawn the attention of researchers, who have begun to measure Vietnam banking competitiveness using the Lerner index (Nguyen 2018; Nguyen et al 2016b). These studies indicate that Lerner indexes range from 0.158 to 0.21 over the period of 1995 to 2016. These studies cover different periods, from 1995 to 2014 (Gardener et al 2011; Nguyen and Nghiem 2018; Nguyen et al 2016a, 2016b)

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