Abstract

Rainfall is a complexity dynamics process. In this paper, our objective is to find the evidence of self-organized criticality (SOC) for rain datasets in China by employing the theory and method of SOC. For this reason, we analyzed the long-term rain records of five meteorological stations in Henan, a central province of China. Three concepts, that is, rain duration, drought duration, accumulated rain amount, are proposed to characterize these rain events processes. We investigate their dynamics property by using scale invariant and found that the long-term rain processes in central China indeed exhibit the feature of self-organized criticality. The proposed theory and method may be suitable to analyze other datasets from different climate zones in China.

Highlights

  • China is a big country for its population and a big agriculture one

  • The results suggest that the northern part of east-central China is experiencing dry conditions more frequently from the 1970s onwards indicated by a negative trend in the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) time series

  • Based on the principle of scale invariant, we develop 2 algorithms corresponding to rain duration, drought duration and accumulated rain amount, in which first algorithm is about the former two items and the second is about the accumulated rain amount

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Summary

Introduction

China is a big country for its population and a big agriculture one. Rain is the main source of irrigation water, and it plays a key role in the crop growing period. To keep sufficient agriculture production sustainable, it is necessary to identify the role of the rain clearly and to understand the characteristics of the rain deeply. Analyzing the rain in central China is more important because this region is the main crop source and the population density is very high. Rainfall is the result of the atmosphere movement, which is influenced by sun radiation, sea water evaporation, and earth rotation. The long-term rain record is a time series which can be regarded as a random process. The rainfall process is a complexity system because there are too many influencing factors

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