Abstract

The drought index is an essential indicator for calculating forest fires’ potential. Many methods are developed to maintain the drought index. However, they provide less suitable at many places. Every area has their own character, and each of methods has their own specification. The spot problem is how to find the right method for those places. The forest of Bukit Suharto, has particular character as one of the rain tropical forests, and it needs suitable method. Furthermore, this study is conducted to examine the right methods that compatible for the forest. They are: Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Keetch Byram Drought Index (KBDI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), Effective Drought Index (EDI), McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (MFFDI), and Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Every method has specific variables for the calculation, namely, the period, the data’s type, the formula’s complexity, the usability, and scale results’ type. On processing the seven methods, the researcher uses other techniques to asses them, namely, ELECTRE, TOPSIS, and Analytic Hierarchy Process. In final process, the conclusion is compared through the result. In summary, the results show that KBDI’s method is the most recommended, and TOPSIS is the best technique for recommendations.

Highlights

  • Calculating the drought index requires an appropriate method, according to the needs and circumstances of the environment

  • The results needed from this study are to produce a recommendation to decide one of the seven drought index calculation methods that are suitable for use in the forest of Bukit Suharto

  • Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) The calculation of the drought index using SPEI is to calculate the difference between Potential Evapotranspiration (PET) and rainfall which describes the level of deviation from dry and wet conditions

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Summary

Introduction

Calculating the drought index requires an appropriate method, according to the needs and circumstances of the environment. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) [3] is one method commonly used to calculate the drought index with the character of the ability to calculate in large amounts of data, has a simple formulation, and the number of output classifications is quite complete These methods are recommended and commonly used in many different countries. Researcher compared seven methods of drought index calculation method: the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Effective Drought Index (EDI), McArthur Forest Fire Danger. The results needed from this study are to produce a recommendation to decide one of the seven drought index calculation methods that are suitable for use in the forest of Bukit Suharto.

Multi-criteria decision making
Electre
Topsis
Analytic hierarchy process
Selection of alternatives
Preference weights
Calculation using electre
Calculation using analytic hierarchy process
Calculation using topsis
Conclusion
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