Selecting DCD Recipients Using Predictive Indices.

Abstract

Using the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database, we performed univariate and multivariate retrospective analyses on 4228 DCD liver allograft recipients. We identified 8 significant factors and incorporated them into the weighted RSI to predict 3-mo survival following DCD liver transplantation with a C-statistic of 0.6971. The most significant recipient risk factors were recipient serum sodium levels >150 mEq/L at transplant, recipient albumin <2.0 g/dL at transplant, and a history of portal vein thrombosis. Because Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score components were included as individual predictors, the DCD RSI predicts survival independently of MELD. Upon comparison with 3 previous recipient risk scores-Balance of Risk, Renal Risk Index, Patient-Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation-the DCD RSI was determined to be superior at selecting optimal candidates pre-DCD transplantation, yielding a C-statistic of 0.6971. After verifying the performance of predictive indices for selection of DCD recipients, the DCD RSI is best used to preselect patients for optimized outcomes after DCD transplantation. This can increase utilization of DCD donors by improving outcomes.