Abstract
In this paper, first order reliability method (FORM) is generalized to the seismic reliability analysis of long-span bridges and the first excursion probability of a single tower cable-stayed bridge is studied. The seismic motivation is firstly dispersed as a series of random variables. Then the cross velocities on the dispersed time points can be obtained by solving the motivation of the design checking points with FORM. The upper bound of first excursion probability is also obtained by integrating the cross velocities at different time. The results show that the seismic reliability analysis method based on the FORM is feasible and effective to solve the first excursion probability problem. The single tower cable-stayed bridge studied in this paper has a higher reliability under strong seismic.
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