Abstract
Research Article| January 01, 2007 Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics: California Peter Bird; Peter Bird Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Zhen Liu Zhen Liu 1Now at: Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Seismological Research Letters (2007) 78 (1): 37–48. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.37 Article history first online: 09 Mar 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation Peter Bird, Zhen Liu; Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics: California. Seismological Research Letters 2007;; 78 (1): 37–48. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.37 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietySeismological Research Letters Search Advanced Search In this paper we propose simple methods for estimating long-term average seismicity of any region, based on a local kinematic model of surface velocities and an existing global calibration of plate-boundary seismicity. We apply the method to California and obtain a long-term forecast of seismicity that exceeds the levels seen in several 20th-century catalogs. This contribution is the third in a series describing a project informally known as Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics (SHIFT). Its goal is to realize the promise of plate tectonic theory to provide long-term seismicity forecasts (and, eventually, seismic hazard forecasts) more reliable than those based... You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.
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