Abstract

In southern Tibet, ongoing vertical and horizontal motions due to the collision between India and Eurasia are monitored by large numbers of global positioning system (GPS) continuous and campaign sites installed in the past decade. Displacements measured by GPS usually include tectonic deformation as well as non-tectonic, time-dependent signals. To estimate the regional long-term tectonic deformation using GPS more precisely, seasonal elastic deformation signals associated with surface loading must be removed from the observations. In this study, we focus on seasonal variation in vertical and horizontal motions of southern Tibet by performing a joint analysis of GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and GPS data, not only using continuous sites but also GPS campaign-mode sites. We found that the GPS-observed and GRACE-modeled seasonal oscillations are in good agreements, and a seasonal displacement model demonstrates that the main reason for seasonal variations in southern Tibet is from the summer monsoon and its precipitation. The biggest loading appears from July to August in the summer season. Vertical deformations observed by GPS and modeled by GRACE are two to three times larger than horizontal oscillations, and the north components demonstrate larger amplitudes than the east components. We corrected the GPS position time series using the GRACE-modeled seasonal variations, which gives significant reductions in the misfit and weighted root-mean-squares (WRMS). Misfit ( divided by degree of freedom) reductions for campaign sites range between 20% and 56% for the vertical component, and are much smaller for the horizontal components. Moreover, time series of continuous GPS (cGPS) sites near the 2015 Nepal earthquakes must be corrected using appropriate models of seasonal loading for analyzing postseismic deformation to avoid biasing estimates of the postseismic relaxation.

Highlights

  • The ongoing crustal deformation of the Tibetan Plateau results from the collision between India and Eurasia

  • From the shape of modeled seasonal variations, we find that the biggest surface mass anomaly a3p0p5e3a4rs during July to August and the smallest one appears during February

  • This indicates that the summer monsoon and induced rainfall are the most important reason of the loading change in southern Tibet

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Summary

Introduction

The ongoing crustal deformation of the Tibetan Plateau results from the collision between India and Eurasia. Earlier studies focused on vertical components of cGPS sites in consideration of the larger signal in the vertical and the need for continuous observations to compare independent measures of seasonal variation. Accurate determination of the small ongoing uplift of the Tibetan Plateau requires removing seasonal variations in vertical components from site position time series [9,43]. Seasonal oscillations in GPS site time series can bias estimates of postseismic deformation, especially in the critical first months after an earthquake. We investigate tectonic and hydrologic deformation at GPS sites in southern Tibet, focusing on removing seasonal signals in GPS time series for a robust determination of tectonic deformation. We analyze how removing seasonal hydrologic signals from GPS site time series impacts estimates of the postseismic transient following the 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha earthquake [6]

Continuous and Campaign GPS Observations and Data Processing
Analysis and Processing of GRACE Measurements
Results and Discussion
Conclusions

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