Abstract

The satellite altimeter data, temperature and salinity data, and 1.5-layer reduced gravity model are used to quantitatively evaluate the contributions of the steric effect and the dynamic process to sea level variations in the Tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO) on different time scales. Concurrently, it also analyses the influence of wind forcing over the different regions of the Pacific Ocean on the sea level variations in the TPO. Seasonal sea level variations in the TPO were the most important in the middle and eastern regions of the 5°–15°N latitude zone, explaining 40–60% of the monthly mean sea level variations. Both the steric effect and dynamic process jointly affected the seasonal sea level variations. Among them, the steric effect was dominant, contributing over 70% in most regions of the TPO, while the dynamic process primarily acted near the equator and southwest regions, contributing approximately 55–85%. At the same time, the seasonal dynamic sea level variations were caused by the combined actions of primarily local wind forcing, alongside subtropical north Pacific wind forcing. On the interannual to decadal time scale, the sea level interannual variations were significant in the northwestern, southwestern, and middle eastern regions of the TPO and explained 45–60% of the monthly mean sea level variations. The decadal sea level variations were the most intense in the eastern Philippine Sea, contributing 25–45% to the monthly mean sea level variations. The steric effect and the dynamic process can explain 100% of the interannual to decadal sea level variations. The contribution of the steric effect was generally high, accounting for more than 85% in the regions near the equator. The impact of the dynamic process was mainly concentrated in the northwest, northeast, and southern regions of the TPO, contributing approximately 55–80%. Local wind forcing is the leading role of interannual to decadal sea level variations. The combined actions of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) can explain 90% of the interannual to decadal sea level variations in the northwestern and eastern of the TPO.

Highlights

  • In the 21st century, due to rising sea levels and frequent extreme sea-level events, the storm surges, coastal erosion, flood risks, and economic losses faced by coastal cities worldwide will continue to increase in frequency and severity [1,2]

  • Regional sea level variations are primarily related to large-scale climate variations on the monthly decadal time scales

  • In the eastern and western regions of the Tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-related sea level variation explanation reaches more than 65%, while the variance in the north American coast reached 60%

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Summary

Introduction

In the 21st century, due to rising sea levels and frequent extreme sea-level events, the storm surges, coastal erosion, flood risks, and economic losses faced by coastal cities worldwide will continue to increase in frequency and severity [1,2]. During 1993–2009, the global mean sea level rise rate was 3.2 ± 0.4 mm/yr, mainly caused by thermal expansion and variation in the quality of seawater transported from the land to the ocean [3]. Regional sea level variations are primarily related to large-scale climate variations on the monthly decadal time scales. The sea level anomalies in the Tropical. Pacific Ocean (TPO) exceed 30 cm due to the interannual variations of El Niño–Southern. Oscillation (ENSO) [4], and its anomalies exceed the 21 cm rising in global mean sea level during 1880–2009 [3]. Due to the impact of climate variations, there are significant regional differences in the rate of sea level rise on decadal time scales [5].

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