Abstract

Fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) are lifelong disabilities caused by prenatal alcohol exposure. Prenatal alcohol use is common in the UK, but FASD prevalence was unknown. Prevalence estimates are essential for informing FASD prevention, identification and support.We applied novel screening algorithms to existing data to estimate the screening prevalence of FASD. Data were from a population-based cohort study (ALSPAC), which recruited pregnant women with expected delivery dates between 1991 and 1992 from the Bristol area of the UK. We evaluated different missing data strategies by comparing results from complete case, single imputation (which assumed that missing data indicated no exposure and no impairment), and multiple imputation methods.6.0% of children screened positive for FASD in the analysis that used the single imputation method (total N = 13,495), 7.2% in complete case analysis (total N = 223) and 17.0% in the analysis with multiply imputed data (total N = 13,495). A positive FASD screen was more common among children of lower socioeconomic status and children from unplanned pregnancies. Our analyses showed that the complete case and single imputation methods that are commonly used in FASD prevalence studies are likely to underestimate FASD prevalence.Although not equivalent to a formal diagnosis, these screening prevalence estimates suggest that FASD is likely to be a significant public health concern in the UK. Given current patterns of alcohol consumption and recent changes in prenatal guidance, active case ascertainment studies are urgently needed to further clarify the current epidemiology of FASD in the general population of the UK.

Highlights

  • Prenatal alcohol use can lead to lifelong disabilities, known as fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) (British Medical Association (BMA), 2016)

  • Our analyses showed that the complete case and single imputation methods that are commonly used in FASD prevalence studies are likely to underestimate FASD prevalence

  • Using a screening algorithm with the same central nervous system (CNS) criteria as the primary analyses, but more stringent prenatal alcohol exposure (PAE) criteria, we obtained a prevalence of 12.7% for FASD

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Summary

Introduction

Prenatal alcohol use can lead to lifelong disabilities, known as fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASDs) (British Medical Association (BMA), 2016). FASD is an umbrella term that describes a range of features including facial dysmorphia, growth deficiency and neurobehavioural impairment. It is associated with over 400 comorbid conditions and adverse outcomes in later life (Popova et al, 2016; Streissguth et al, 2004). Proposals to conduct active case ascertainment studies of FASD in the UK have not been successful (All Party Parliamentary Group on FASD, 2015) To address this knowledge gap, we developed novel FASD screening algorithms and applied these to existing data from a population-based birth-cohort in England to estimate FASD screening prevalence. We investigated the impact of using different missing data strategies when estimating FASD prevalence

Data source
Study approval
Participants
FASD screening algorithm development and validation
Outcome
Statistical analyses
Prevalence estimation
FASD screening algorithm performance
FASD screening prevalence
Participant characteristics
Discussion
FASD subtypes
Strengths and limitations
Conflicts of interest
Full Text
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