Scoring System for Prediction of Left Ventricular Longitudinal Myocardial Dysfunction in Preclinical Heart Failure Patients.

Abstract

Detection of left ventricular (LV) abnormalities is essential for patients with preclinical heart failure (HF) to delay progression to clinical HF. Global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a sensitive marker for the early occurrence of subtle abnormalities in LV function, but not all echocardiographic instruments can measure GLS.Methods and Results: We studied 853 preclinical HF patients to devise a scoring system for predicting low GLS (<16%). The associations of medical history and echocardiographic parameters with low GLS were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Model 1 of the system consisted of medical history; for Model 2, conventional echocardiographic parameters were added to Model 1. For Model 1, a score ≥5 points meant prediction of low GLS with 90.2% sensitivity and 62.9% specificity (male=1 point, hypertension=4 points, dyslipidemia=1 point, atrial fibrillation=2 points, history of cardiac surgery=2 points). For Model 2, a score ≥4 points denotes prediction of low GLS with 80.3% sensitivity and 76.5% specificity (male=1 point, hypertension=2 points, atrial fibrillation=2 points, LV mass index >116 g/m2[male] or >96 g/m2[female]=1 point, LV ejection fraction <59%=2 points, E/e' >14=1 point). Our scoring system provides an easy-to-use evaluation of LV longitudinal myocardial dysfunction, and may prove useful for risk stratification of patients with preclinical HF.