Abstract
How might scholarly communication change in the future, given the shifting landscape and impact of technology and what would this mean for publishers and libraries? Within Wiley, scenario planning provides a framework for looking forward to identify critical uncertainties and model how those uncertainties could unfold, which provides context for decision making in the present as well as planning for the future. Four possible futures emphasizing different outcomes in scholar behavior related to the communication of research and content distribution models for scholarly works are briefly summarized and outline the potential impact on some of the key stakeholders. With this as context, possible strategic directions and some related questions for how publishers and libraries can remain relevant and successfully contribute to the future development of the scholarly communication process are put forward.
Highlights
Scenarios for the future of scholarly communicationsHow might scholarly communication change in the future, given the shifting landscape and impact of technology and what would this mean for publishers and libraries?
The current environment for scholarly communication is tumultuous
It is possible to determine strategies that are robust across all or at least most of the possible futures described, as well as scenario-specific strategies and the milestones or warning signs that indicate the future is trending in the direction of a particular scenario
Summary
How might scholarly communication change in the future, given the shifting landscape and impact of technology and what would this mean for publishers and libraries? Within Wiley, scenario planning provides a framework for looking forward to identify critical uncertainties and model how those uncertainties could unfold, which provides context for decision making in the present as well as planning for the future. Four possible futures emphasizing different outcomes in scholar behavior related to the communication of research and content distribution models for scholarly works are briefly summarized and outline the potential impact on some of the key stakeholders. Possible strategic directions and some related questions for how publishers and libraries can remain relevant and successfully contribute to the future development of the scholarly communication process are put forward
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