Abstract

The article is devoted to the impact of migration processes on public opinion and possible solutions to the migration problem in modern Russia. An analysis and comparison of the results of sociological surveys conducted by various sociological agencies over the past five years has made it possible to identify the most vulnerable points in interethnic relations. Speaking about the future prospects of Russian migration policy, the authors offer scenarios for the development of the migration problem in Russia. To study the experience of the organization, as well as to determine the specific features of the functioning of the migration process, comparative methods are used to identify the main ways of regulating the migration policy in Russia and to compare this practice with international experience. The generalization method is also used, allowing the authors to identify common properties and characteristics of the objects of study by moving from a particular or less general concept and judgment to a more general concept or judgment within the framework of this study. The methods of induction and deduction are widely used in academic research. Thanks to these methods, researchers have the opportunity to examine certain processes in detail, build logical relationships and sequences, and identify patterns. The use of induction made it possible to derive general propositions from a series of particular statements and isolated facts based on data from past experience.

Highlights

  • Annotation: The article is devoted to the impact of migration processes on public opinion and possible solutions to the migration problem in modern Russia

  • Rybakovskii singled out three stages of the migration process (Rybakovskiy, 2009; 2014), studied the transformation of migration processes in the post-Soviet space, and his recent works are devoted to the problem of depopulation in Russia

  • 2017 report of the Center for Strategic Research (CSR) and the High school of Economics (HSE) forecasts, by 2035, the natural population decline in Russia may amount to 400 thousand people, and a more pessimistic scenario and 1 million people annually

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Summary

SCENARIOS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE MIGRATION PROBLEM IN RUSSIA

Germany and Saudi Arabia host the second and third largest numbers of migrants (13 million each), followed by the Russian Federation (12 million)...” (International Migration 2019, 2019). The situation has even worsened, since most migrants are not ethnic Russians and a significant part of them are Muslims. This causes national and religious tensions, which in turn contribute to the strengthening of right-wing radicals in Russia. The purpose of this article is to analyze the main migration problems in Russia and describe possible scenarios for further developments. The main hypothesis of the article is that the migration problem is a serious challenge for the Russian state that can have both favorable and negative consequences in the economic, political and sociocultural spheres. The following methods were used to verify the hypothesis: sociological analysis, discourse analysis, extrapolation an institutional and legal analysis

MIGRATION RESEARCH
THE DEMOGRAPHIC CRISIS IN RUSSIA
Forecast option
MIGRATION FROM OTHER STATES
THE CONCEPT OF MIGRATION POLICY OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
SCENARIOS FOR MIGRATION
Findings
SCENARIUSZE ROZWOJU PROBLEMU MIGRACJI W ROSJI
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