Scenarios for the development of the economy of Uzbekistan in the conditions of instability of the world economy

Abstract

The article presents a systematic analysis of the natural and economic potential of the national economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The research methodology is based on the use of dialectical logic and a system-structural approach. General scientific methods and techniques were used in the work: scientific abstraction, grouping, qualitative expert assessments, quantitative assessments, comparative analysis and synthesis. Based on the study of trends in the development of the world economy and technologies of the future, the author proves that when choosing priority areas in economic sectors, the emphasis should be placed on those areas and technologies that will give the maximum effect for resource conservation, the growth of competitiveness of domestic products, sustainable employment, reduction of transaction costs, growth of human capital. During the discussion of the results of the study, the method of scenarios was used, which allows combining factors and conditions of development within a limited number of alternative models of economic growth, and using modern model analytical tools to assess the most likely consequences of their implementation. In conclusion, it is concluded that the considered scenarios represent extreme hypothetical directions of the long-term development of the national economy and determine the framework within which optimal solutions should be sought.