Abstract

• Scenario-based preference modeling was used for testing port system resilience. • The model describes the influence of different scenarios on the port initiatives. • The approach ranks initiatives in each scenario based on level of importance. • The most disruptive scenario was S 3 (economic crisis). • S 5 (compelling circumstance) was the least disruptive scenario. Port systems are sensitive and complicated, yet they are subject to various forms of disruptiveness. Therefore, during the port life cycle, the port can be exposed to unexpected crises that include economic meltdowns, inappropriate designs, and the unavailability of resources. Scenario-based preference modeling was designed to define the nature of the system resilience in Mubarak Al-Kabeer Port (MKP), Kuwait. The model described the influence of different scenarios on the port initiatives among a set of criteria. The initiatives in each scenario were ranked based on their level of importance. Results showed that the most disruptive scenario was s 3 (economic crisis), while s 5 (compelling circumstance) was the least disruptive scenario. The results also revealed that the most robust and highly prioritized initiatives were x 1 (soil treatment for the main road construction and MKP harbor) and x 25 (maintenance of the connecting channel —the channel links MKP to Khor Abdullah).

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