Abstract
Carlson, M. J., R. Mitchell, and L. Rodriguez. 2011. Scenario analysis to identify viable conservation strategies in Paraguay’s imperiled Atlantic forest. Ecology and Society 16(3): 8. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-04267-160308
Highlights
Tropical deforestation is widespread with serious implications for biodiversity and ecosystem services, such as carbon storage
The conservation agriculture scenario did not require the conversion of all available natural land to agriculture due to two strategies: (1) conservation farming practices that eliminated the need to abandon cropland and (2) all soybean plantation expansion occurred into ranchland rather than natural land
Scenarios that reduced the rate of deforestation, most notably conservation agriculture, were better able to conserve biotic carbon (Fig. 4)
Summary
Tropical deforestation is widespread with serious implications for biodiversity and ecosystem services, such as carbon storage. It is essential that limited conservation resources be directed at strategies capable of stemming the loss of natural ecosystems while addressing underlying socioeconomic issues. Evaluating the future consequences of land use policy is constrained by uncertainty. Understanding of complex ecosystems and their response to human actions is incomplete, and knowledge gaps are likely to be larger in developing countries where institutional and technical capacity for their study is limited. Expanded ecological research in developing countries is necessary, the urgency to resolve environmental and socioeconomic problems is such that the development of sustainable land use policies cannot wait for findings from long-term research efforts. Agencies must make the best use of existing information to identify land use strategies suited to balancing ecological and economic objectives
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