Scaling up prenatal nutrition could reduce the global burden of noncommunicable diseases in the next generation: a modeling analysis

Abstract

Nutritional conditions during pregnancy may influence the epigenetic development of an individual and consequently their later-life risk of noncommunicable disease (NCD). Improving nutrition for pregnant females may therefore serve the dual purpose of directly improving pregnancy outcomes and preventing NCDs in the next generation. We estimated the impact of prenatal supplementation with iron and folic acid (IFA), multiple micronutrients (MMS), or calcium at 50%, 75%, or 90% coverage on future NCDs by age and sex in 2015. We used secondary data sources from 132 countries to quantify the cases of diabetes and hypertension and the deaths from selected NCDs that could be averted or delayed by scaling up prenatal micronutrient supplementation. Globally, >51,000 NCD deaths, 6 million cases of hypertension, and 3 million cases of diabetes could be prevented per offspring birth cohort if mothers were prenatally supplemented with MMS at 90% coverage. For IFA these numbers would be roughly half. Calcium supplementation at 90% could delay 51,000 deaths per birth cohort. Our model suggests that substantial numbers of NCD deaths and cases of hypertension and diabetes could be prevented in future generations by scaling up micronutrient supplementation for mothers during pregnancy. Highlighting the additional benefits of proven nutrition interventions is critical in ensuring adequate and sustained investments, and programmatic integration. As the double burden of disease continues to grow, population-wide efforts to scale up micronutrient supplementation to pregnant females could help prevent both undernutrition and chronic disease.