Satellite-based precipitation error propagation in the hydrological modeling chain across China

Abstract

Satellite-based precipitation products have great potential to promote hydrological modeling skill owing to the spatially homogeneous measurements they provide. However, satellite-based precipitation uncertainties and their hydrological impacts are poorly understood for different products and hydroclimate regions in China. This study comprehensively evaluates the error properties of ten satellite-based precipitation products and the precipitation error propagation characteristics in the hydrological modeling chain during the period 2001–2018. The results indicate that precipitation error tends to become smaller during the routing process for most satellite precipitation products; e.g., αRMAE, an error propagation ratio based on relative mean absolute error, decreased about 26% (from 0.58 to 0.43) when considering routing processes during hydrological simulation by using the PERSIANN-CDR satellite precipitation product. The linear slope of simulated streamflow against precipitation error greatly decreases (compared to that of simulated runoff) after flow routing of 366 catchments across China. This study also found that satellite-based precipitation product errors in hydrological simulations for drier and water-limited small catchments are more likely for amplify in the streamflow simulations. These findings are essential to improving understanding of the interactions between satellite-derived precipitation forcing and hydrological processes, and thus for improving the data accuracy of precipitation forcing for hydrological simulation in China.