Abstract

We study the classical multiperiod capacitated stochastic inventory control problems in a data-driven setting. Instead of assuming full knowledge of the demand distributions, we assume that the demand distributions can only be accessed through drawing random samples. Such data-driven models are ubiquitous in practice, where the cumulative distribution functions of the underlying random demand are either unavailable or too complex to work with. We consider the sample average approximation (SAA) method for the problem and establish an upper bound on the number of samples needed for the SAA method to achieve a near-optimal expected cost, under any level of required accuracy and prespecified confidence probability. The sample bound is polynomial in the number of time periods as well as the confidence and accuracy parameters. Moreover, the bound is independent of the underlying demand distributions. However, the SAA requires solving the SAA problem, which is #P-hard. Thus, motivated by the SAA analysis, we propose a polynomial time approximation scheme that also uses polynomially many samples. Finally, we establish a lower bound on the number of samples required to solve this data-driven newsvendor problem to near-optimality.

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