Abstract
tis. Independent predictors of severe pancreatitis include age . 55 (OR, 1.6; P, 0.04), male gender (OR, 1.5; P,0.05), white blood cell count .16,000 cells/mm3 (OR, 2.7; P ,0.01), serum glucose .200 mg/dL (OR, 2.1; P,0.02) and serum calcium ,8 mg/dL (OR, 6.3; P,0.01). Conclusions: Compared to other recent population-based epidemiologic studies, we report a higher incidence of AP (1.0 vs. 0.6 per 1,000), less severe pancreatitis (5% severity) and lower mortality (0.2%). Independent predictors of severe pancreatitis include age .55, male gender, elevated wbc, elevated glucose and decreased serum calcium, which have been validated in other studies.
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