Abstract

The rapid development of remote sensing technology has brought abundant data support for deep learning based temperature forecasting research. However, recently proposed methods usually focus on the temporal relationship among temperature observation information, whereas ignore the spatial positions of different regions. Motivated by the observation that adjacent regions usually present similar temperature trends, in this article, we consider the temperature forecasting as a spatiotemporal sequence prediction problem, and propose a new deep learning model for temperature forecasting, self-attention joint spatiotemporal network (SA-JSTN), which simultaneously captures the spatiotemporal interdependency information. The kernel component of the SA-JSTN is a newly developed spatiotemporal memory (STM) unit, which describes the temporal and spatial models via a unified memory cell. STM is constructed based on the units of the convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM). Instead of using simple convolutions for spatial information extraction, in STM, we improve ConvLSTM by a self-attention module, which has significantly enhanced the global spatial information representation ability of our proposed network. Compared with other deep learning based temperature forecasting methods, SA-JSTN is able to integrate the global spatial correlation into the temperature series prediction problem, and thus present better performance especially in short-term prediction. We have conducted comparison experiments on two typical temperature datasets to validate the effectiveness of our proposed method.

Highlights

  • I N recent years, the rapid development of remote sensing techniques [1]–[3] have brought exciting data and resource support for temperature forecasting problem

  • From the perspective of deep learning, temperature forecasting can be regarded as a spatiotemporal sequence forecasting problem, which can be modeled as a sequence-to-sequence problem

  • The performance of the Self-Attention Joint Spatiotemporal Network (SA-JSTN) model is much better than that of the ConvLSTM model, which illustrates the importance of modeling the spatiotemporal dimensions in a unified unit and using the self-attention module to capture the correlation of the spatial dimension

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

I N recent years, the rapid development of remote sensing techniques [1]–[3] have brought exciting data and resource support for temperature forecasting problem. To solve the problems of data dependence and complex mechanisms in temperature forecasting, algorithms based on deep learning are proposed. Deep learning algorithms can better model the nonlinear relationship of temperature data. The convolution operation is usually utilized to capture the spatial correlation of temperature information in deep learning temperature forecasting algorithms, which is local and inefficient. We propose a Self-Attention Joint Spatiotemporal Network (SA-JSTN) for temperature forecasting, which has certain advantages in predicting sudden temperature changes in local areas by paying attention to global information. We propose a new deep learning model, SA-JSTN, for temperature forecasting, which may have advantage in extracting the spatial dependence between observations at different regions. SA-JSTN transmits information in both horizontal and vertical directions with a stacked RNN architecture, and simultaneously captures the spatiotemporal correlation of temperature data.

RELATED WORK
Spatiotemporal Sequence Prediction
SA-JSTN Architecture
STM Module
EXPERIMENT
Data Sets and Evaluation Metrics
Comparison with Other Methods
Analysis and Discussion
CONCLUSION AND FUTURE WORK

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